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Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Liverpool logo

Arsenal
3 - 1
Liverpool

Saka (14'), Martinelli (67'), Trossard (90+2')
White (31'), Magalhaes (57'), Kiwior (69'), Havertz (90+5'), Rice (90+4'), Saliba (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Magalhaes (45+3' og.)
Gomez (25'), Konate (55'), Nunez (90')
Konate (88')

The Match

Match Report

Arsenal blow the Premier League title race wide open with a 3-1 win over 10-man Liverpool in a game of three defensive calamities.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Liverpool.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Liverpool.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Arsenal's injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash with title rivals Liverpool.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-2 Arsenal
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 4-1 Chelsea
Wednesday, January 31 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawLiverpool
51.29% (1.494 1.49) 21.71% (-0.169 -0.17) 27% (-1.33 -1.33)
Both teams to score 65.09% (-0.54600000000001 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.91% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)34.09% (0.227 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.03% (-0.26 -0.26)55.96% (0.256 0.26)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.36% (0.39400000000001 0.39)13.63% (-0.399 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.2% (0.785 0.79)40.8% (-0.79 -0.79)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (-0.98399999999999 -0.98)24.62% (0.979 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86% (-1.395 -1.4)59.13% (1.39 1.39)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 51.29%
    Liverpool 27%
    Draw 21.71%
ArsenalDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.114 0.11)
1-0 @ 6.69% (0.174 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.266 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.2% (0.165 0.17)
3-0 @ 4.43% (0.239 0.24)
3-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.126 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.149 0.15)
4-2 @ 2.17% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.067 0.07)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 51.29%
1-1 @ 9.37% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-0 @ 3.36% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 21.71%
1-2 @ 6.57% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-1 @ 4.7% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-3 @ 3.06% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Liverpool

Arsenal
27.3%
Draw
15.3%
Liverpool
57.4%
652
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2024 4.30pm
Third Round
Arsenal
0-2
Liverpool

Saliba (65')
Kiwior (80' og.), Diaz (90+5')
Elliott (70'), Gravenberch (90'), Clark (90+1'), Alexander-Arnold (90+4')
Dec 23, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Liverpool
1-1
Arsenal
Salah (29')
Endo (45+3'), Salah (84')
Magalhaes (4')
Saka (38'), Havertz (45+4'), Rice (49'), Nketiah (86'), White (90+1')
Apr 9, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 30
Liverpool
2-2
Arsenal
Salah (42'), Firmino (87')
Martinelli (8'), Jesus (28')
Oct 9, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 10
Arsenal
3-2
Liverpool
Martinelli (1'), Saka (45+5', 76' pen.)
Nunez (34'), Firmino (53')
Mar 16, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 27
Arsenal
0-2
Liverpool
Jota (54'), Firmino (62')
Firmino (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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