Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 22

Jan 31, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Anfield

Liverpool
4 - 1
Chelsea

Jota (23'), Bradley (39'), Szoboszlai (65'), Diaz (79')
Nunez (47'), Konate (76')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Nkunku (71')
Caicedo (11'), Fernandez (33'), Chilwell (35'), Disasi (41')

Darwin Nunez breaks unwanted Premier League record in Liverpool win over Chelsea

Liverpool forward Darwin Nunez breaks an unfortunate Premier League record in Wednesday's 4-1 victory over Chelsea at Anfield.

Jan 31, 23:33

Liverpool's Conor Bradley celebrates scoring their second goal on January 31, 2024

Jurgen Klopp reveals Pep Lijnders "fire" conversation over Conor Bradley

Jurgen Klopp reveals how Pep Lijnders would "put both hands in fire" for Conor Bradley after his terrific display in Liverpool's 4-1 Premier League win over Chelsea.

Feb 1, 07:50

Liverpool's Alexis Mac Allister walks off the pitch to be substituted after sustaining an injury on December 6, 2023

Jurgen Klopp plays down Alexis Mac Allister injury concerns

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp is confident that Alexis Mac Allister has avoided a serious injury after a scare in Wednesday's 4-1 Premier League win over Chelsea.

Feb 1, 13:22

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Liverpool 5-2 Norwich
Sunday, January 28 at 2.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chelsea

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Chelsea 0-0 Aston Villa
Friday, January 26 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 60.49%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 19.99% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.62%) and 3-1 (7.23%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (5.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Chelsea
60.49% ( -2.04)	19.51% ( 0.41)	19.99% ( 1.63)

Both teams to score 64.02% (

1.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.41% (

0.67)

31.58% (

-0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.92% (

0.78)

53.08% (

-0.79)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.74% (

-0.31)

10.25% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.39% (

-0.69)

33.61% (

0.69)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.34% (

1.96)

28.66% (

-1.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.52% (

2.38)

64.47% (

-2.39)

Score Analysis

Liverpool 60.49%

Chelsea 19.99%

Draw 19.51%

Liverpool	Draw	Chelsea
2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.49) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.34) 3-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.45) 3-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.31) 4-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.16) 5-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.51% Total : 60.49%	1-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.38% Total : 19.51%	1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.3) 0-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.19% Total : 19.99%