Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 60.49%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 19.99% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.62%) and 3-1 (7.23%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (5.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.