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Premier League | Gameweek 22
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Brighton
1 - 0
Bournemouth

Mitoma (87')
Veltman (9'), Dunk (69'), Caicedo (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (84')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion move back up to sixth in the Premier League after beating Bournemouth 1-0.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 70.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 11.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBournemouth
70.16% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 18.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 11.5% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Both teams to score 46.98% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (0.013999999999996 0.01)43.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02)66.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.75% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)11.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.17% (0.01400000000001 0.01)35.83% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.93% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)47.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.46% (0.0040000000000013 0)82.54% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 70.15%
    Bournemouth 11.5%
    Draw 18.33%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBournemouth
2-0 @ 12.63%
1-0 @ 11.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.52%
3-0 @ 9.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 5.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.61%
5-0 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 70.15%
1-1 @ 8.72% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 18.33%
0-1 @ 3.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.5%
2-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 11.5%

How you voted: Brighton vs Bournemouth

Brighton & Hove Albion
88.4%
Draw
7.8%
Bournemouth
3.9%
129
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Brighton
0-5
Bournemouth

Andone (50'), Bissouma (78')
Knockaert (68')
Gosling (33'), Fraser (55'), Brooks (74'), Wilson (82'), Stanislas (92')
Ake (22'), Mepham (50'), Gosling (64'), Boruc (71')
Jan 5, 2019 12.30pm
Third Round
Bournemouth
1-3
Brighton
Pugh (55')
Surman (84'), Cook (90')
Knockaert (31'), Bissouma (34'), Andone (64')
Stephens (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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