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Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Man City
3 - 1
Aston Villa

Rodri (4'), Gundogan (39'), Mahrez (45+1' pen.)
Dias (41')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Watkins (61')
Digne (37'), Konsa (63')

The Match

Match Report

Rodri, Ilkay Gundogan and Riyad Mahrez are all on target in the first half as Manchester City defeat Aston Villa 3-1 at the Etihad Stadium.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 1-0 Man City
Sunday, February 5 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.95%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 6.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.41%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result
Manchester CityDrawAston Villa
81.95% (-0.86999999999999 -0.87) 11.67% (0.535 0.54) 6.38% (0.3329 0.33)
Both teams to score 49.64% (-0.40799999999999 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.53% (-1.448 -1.45)28.47% (1.446 1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.68% (-1.808 -1.81)49.32% (1.806 1.81)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.83% (-0.413 -0.41)5.17% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.53% (-1.241 -1.24)20.47% (1.24 1.24)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.35% (-0.203 -0.2)47.65% (0.20200000000001 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.03% (-0.15 -0.15)82.97% (0.148 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 81.94%
    Aston Villa 6.38%
    Draw 11.67%
Manchester CityDrawAston Villa
2-0 @ 10.8% (0.34 0.34)
3-0 @ 10.67% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.208 0.21)
3-1 @ 7.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 7.91% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.423 0.42)
4-1 @ 5.86% (-0.173 -0.17)
5-0 @ 4.69% (-0.245 -0.25)
5-1 @ 3.47% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
6-0 @ 2.31% (-0.19 -0.19)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.077 -0.08)
6-1 @ 1.72% (-0.152 -0.15)
5-2 @ 1.29% (-0.083 -0.08)
7-0 @ 0.98% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 81.94%
1-1 @ 5.41% (0.284 0.28)
2-2 @ 2.97% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.46% (0.206 0.21)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 11.67%
1-2 @ 2% (0.095 0.1)
0-1 @ 1.82% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 6.38%

How you voted: Man City vs Aston Villa

Manchester City
82.7%
Draw
10.9%
Aston Villa
6.4%
202
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
May 22, 2022 4pm
Man City
3-2
Aston Villa
Gundogan (76', 81'), Rodri (78')
Cash (37'), Coutinho (69')
Mings (49'), Nakamba (87')
Dec 1, 2021 8.15pm
Apr 21, 2021 8.15pm
Aston Villa
1-2
Man City
McGinn (1')
Cash (54')
Cash (57')
Foden (22'), Rodri (40')
Gundogan (44')
Stones (44')
Jan 20, 2021 6pm
Man City
2-0
Aston Villa
Silva (79'), Gundogan (90' pen.)

McGinn (67'), Smith (81'), Taylor (86')
Smith (81')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, July 1
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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