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FA Cup
Aston Villa logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Villa Park
Stevenage

Aston Villa
1 - 2
Stevenage

Sanson (33')
Dendoncker (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Reid (88' pen.), Campbell (90')

The Match

Match Report

Stevenage launch a stunning late fightback to defeat Premier League side Aston Villa by a 2-1 scoreline in the FA Cup third round.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Aston Villa and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Wolves
Wednesday, January 4 at 8pm in Premier League

Stevenage

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Gillingham
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawStevenage
47.93% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 24.24% (0.142 0.14) 27.83% (-0.146 -0.15)
Both teams to score 56.75% (-0.596 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.61% (-0.733 -0.73)45.39% (0.738 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.28% (-0.705 -0.7)67.72% (0.711 0.71)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.96% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28)19.04% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.39% (-0.478 -0.48)50.62% (0.484 0.48)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.483 -0.48)29.9% (0.49 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-0.591 -0.59)66% (0.595 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 47.93%
    Stevenage 27.83%
    Draw 24.23%
Aston VillaDrawStevenage
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.211 0.21)
2-0 @ 7.83% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 47.93%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.178 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.124 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.15% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 27.83%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Stevenage

Aston Villa
75.0%
Draw
14.3%
Stevenage
10.7%
56
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356
> Premier League Full Table


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