The Match
Match Report
Stevenage launch a stunning late fightback to defeat Premier League side Aston Villa by a 2-1 scoreline in the FA Cup third round.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Aston Villa and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Wolves
Wednesday, January 4 at 8pm in Premier League
Wednesday, January 4 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Gillingham
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League Two
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Stevenage |
47.93% ( 0.01) | 24.24% ( 0.14) | 27.83% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 56.75% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
