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Premier League | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
The City Ground
Aston Villa logo

Nott'm Forest
2 - 0
Aston Villa

Aina (5'), Mangala (47')
Danilo (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kamara (64')

The Match

Match Report

Nottingham Forest end a six-game winless run in the Premier League with a 2-0 victory over an off-colour Aston Villa at the City Ground.

Team News

Nottingham Forest make three changes for Sunday's Premier League game versus Aston Villa at the City Ground.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawAston Villa
32.35% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 25.72% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 41.92% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 54.36% (0.162 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.35% (0.211 0.21)49.65% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33% (0.188 0.19)71.67% (-0.19099999999999 -0.19)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (0.094999999999999 0.09)28.93% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.19% (0.119 0.12)64.81% (-0.122 -0.12)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (0.12299999999999 0.12)23.51% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.46% (0.17899999999999 0.18)57.54% (-0.182 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 32.35%
    Aston Villa 41.92%
    Draw 25.72%
Nottingham ForestDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 8.43% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 32.35%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 9.85% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.13% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.44% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 41.92%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Aston Villa

Nottingham Forest
13.7%
Draw
10.4%
Aston Villa
75.8%
182
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Oct 10, 2022 8pm
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Nott'm Forest
1-3
Aston Villa
Colback (3')
Ansarifard (29'), Milosevic (61'), Colback (86')
McGinn (7', 15'), Hause (61')
Hause (28'), Taylor (65'), Kodjia (96')
Nov 28, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
5-5
Nott'm Forest
Abraham (11', 14', 36' pen., 71'), El Ghazi (75')
Bolasie (20'), Hutton (69'), El Ghazi (87')
Grabban (3', 82'), Carvalho (6'), Cash (22'), Lolley (51')
Yacob (65'), Darikwa (69'), Colback (78')
Figueiredo (68')
Jan 13, 2018 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1311112681834
2Arsenal1374226141225
3Chelsea1374226141225
4Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton136522217523
5Manchester CityMan City137242219323
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest136431613322
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1362528141420
8Brentford136252623320
9Manchester UnitedMan Utd135441713419
10Fulham135441818019
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle135441414019
12Aston Villa135441922-319
13Bournemouth135352019118
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham134361724-715
15Everton132561021-1111
16Leicester CityLeicester132471627-1110
17Crystal Palace131661118-79
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves132382232-109
19Ipswich TownIpswich131661324-119
20Southampton1312101025-155


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