Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Aston Villa |
32.35% ( -0.02) | 25.72% ( -0.05) | 41.92% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 54.36% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.35% ( 0.21) | 49.65% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.33% ( 0.19) | 71.67% ( -0.19) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.07% ( 0.09) | 28.93% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.19% ( 0.12) | 64.81% ( -0.12) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.49% ( 0.12) | 23.51% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.46% ( 0.18) | 57.54% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.35% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 41.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 25 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Arsenal | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
6 | Aston Villa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 16 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
11 | Brentford | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Fulham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 7 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 5 |
19 | Southampton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 4 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 3 |
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