Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 77.05%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 9.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.03%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.