Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Southampton |
29.48% ( 0.12) | 23.28% | 47.24% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 61.33% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.11% ( 0.08) | 39.89% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.75% ( 0.08) | 62.25% ( -0.07) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.05% ( 0.12) | 25.95% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.04% ( 0.16) | 60.96% ( -0.15) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.82% ( -0.01) | 17.17% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.57% ( -0.03) | 47.43% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Southampton |
2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.01% 2-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.48% | 1-1 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.41% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 4.07% Total : 47.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 15 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
3 | Arsenal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Chelsea | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
5 | Aston Villa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
6 | Fulham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Bournemouth | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
12 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Everton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 3 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
19 | Southampton | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 1 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
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