Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.