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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 69.01%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 11.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Cardiff City |
69.01% ( 1.17) | 19.05% ( -0.38) | 11.94% ( -0.79) |
Both teams to score 46.03% ( -1.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.24% ( -0.24) | 45.75% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.93% ( -0.23) | 68.07% ( 0.22) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.85% ( 0.26) | 12.15% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.25% ( 0.54) | 37.75% ( -0.54) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.39% ( -1.47) | 47.61% ( 1.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.06% ( -1.11) | 82.94% ( 1.11) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Cardiff City |
2-0 @ 12.84% ( 0.38) 1-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.12% Total : 69% | 1-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.68% Total : 19.05% | 0-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.7% Total : 11.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |