Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 85.09%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 4.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 4-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.66%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (1.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.