Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 78.38%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 8.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.72%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.54%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Chelsea in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.