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Luton Town
Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Brighton logo

Luton
4 - 0
Brighton

Adebayo (1', 42', 56'), Ogbene (3')
Sambi Lokonga (25'), Clark (65')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Julio (13'), Balepa (73')

The Match

Match Report

A first-ever hat-trick from Luton Town striker Elijah Adebayo fires the Hatters to their biggest win of the Premier League campaign, thrashing Brighton & Hove Albion 4-0.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 54.7%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 23.29% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
23.29% (0.0030000000000001 0) 22.01% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 54.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 59.8% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.74% (0.009999999999998 0.01)39.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.41% (0.011000000000003 0.01)61.59% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.81% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)30.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.66% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)66.35% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)14.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)42.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 23.29%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 54.7%
    Draw 22.01%
Luton TownDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 6.03%
1-0 @ 5.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.11%
3-1 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 23.29%
1-1 @ 10.07%
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.01%
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 8.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 8.16% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 6.33%
0-3 @ 5.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 3.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.57%
2-4 @ 1.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 1%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 54.7%

How you voted: Luton vs Brighton

Luton Town
16.8%
Draw
22.3%
Brighton & Hove Albion
60.9%
197
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Brighton
4-1
Luton
March (36'), Pedro (71' pen.), Adingra (85'), Ferguson (90+5')
Estupinan (7'), Mitoma (43')
Morris (81' pen.)
Andersen (51'), Kabore (59')
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Luton
1-3
Brighton
Cornick (44')
Connolly (9'), Mwepu (35'), Tau (62')
Jul 23, 2016 2pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Luton
2-1
Brighton
Marriott (1', 58')
Dunk (42')
Apr 12, 2008 3pm
Luton
1-2
Brighton
Parkin (49')
Hutchison (85')
Westlake (51'), Murray (59')
Mayo (45')
Nov 3, 2007 3pm
Brighton
3-1
Luton
Savage (40'), Forster (69', 85')
Edwards (79')
Spring (62'), Goodall (74'), Robinson (84')
Goodall (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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