Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 79.42%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 7.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.64%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.