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Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Goodison Park
Luton Town

Everton
1 - 2
Luton

FT(HT: 1-2)
Lockyer (24'), Morris (31')
Kabore (66')

The Match

Match Report

Luton Town record their first-ever Premier League victory with a 2-1 triumph over Everton at Goodison Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 Everton
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Luton
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
EvertonDrawLuton Town
37.13% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 27.91% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01) 34.96% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.02% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.04% (0.035999999999994 0.04)57.96% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.35% (0.028000000000002 0.03)78.66% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.98% (0.039999999999992 0.04)30.02% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.86% (0.048999999999999 0.05)66.14% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.62% (0.0020000000000095 0)31.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.25% (0.0020000000000024 0)67.75% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Everton 37.12%
    Luton Town 34.95%
    Draw 27.91%
EvertonDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.33%
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.17% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 37.12%
1-1 @ 13.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 10.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 6.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.95%

How you voted: Everton vs Luton

Everton
76.1%
Draw
12.8%
Luton Town
11.0%
109
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa6411129313
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs6312125710
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
11Brentford6213810-27
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd621358-37
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Ipswich TownIpswich6042510-54
16Everton6114715-84
17Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
18Crystal Palace603359-43
19Southampton501429-71
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101


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