Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fulham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fulham.
Result | ||
Fulham | Draw | Luton Town |
37.28% ( -0.01) | 26.84% ( -0) | 35.88% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.42% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.27% ( 0.01) | 53.73% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.78% ( 0.01) | 75.22% ( -0.01) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.12% ( 0) | 27.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.51% ( 0) | 63.49% |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.29% ( 0.01) | 28.71% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.46% ( 0.02) | 64.54% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Fulham | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.85% Total : 37.27% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
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