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Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Craven Cottage
Luton Town

Fulham
1 - 0
Luton

Vinicius (65')
Castagne (40'), Diop (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Chong (27'), Kaminski (37')

The Match

Match Report

Carlos Vinicius comes off the bench to score the only goal in Fulham's Premier League clash with Luton Town at Craven Cottage.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Fulham and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 5-1 Fulham
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 1-2 West Ham
Friday, September 1 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fulham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fulham.

Result
FulhamDrawLuton Town
37.28% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 26.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 35.88% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.27% (0.011000000000003 0.01)53.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78% (0.010999999999999 0.01)75.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)63.49%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (0.012 0.01)28.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)64.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 37.27%
    Luton Town 35.88%
    Draw 26.83%
FulhamDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.47%
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 37.27%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.99% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.96% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.88%

How you voted: Fulham vs Luton

Fulham
77.3%
Draw
15.2%
Luton Town
7.6%
132
Head to Head
May 2, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 45
Fulham
7-0
Luton
Cairney (29'), Tete (39'), Carvalho (54'), Mitrovic (62', 90+2'), Reid (65'), Michael Seri (79')
Wilson (83'), Mitrovic (90+3')

Hylton (11'), Lockyer (27'), Snodgrass (35'), Lansbury (37'), Potts (51'), Muskwe (85')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Luton
1-1
Fulham
Adebayo (62')
Campbell (42')
Mitrovic (19')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 24
Luton
3-3
Fulham
LuaLua (5'), Collins (28'), Cornick (84')
Reid (9', 94'), Mitrovic (77')
Oct 23, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Fulham
3-2
Luton
Mitrovic (16', 53', 67')
Cairney (73')
Potts (60'), LuaLua (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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