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Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Craven Cottage
Luton Town

Fulham
1 - 0
Luton

Vinicius (65')
Castagne (40'), Diop (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Chong (27'), Kaminski (37')

The Match

Match Report

Carlos Vinicius comes off the bench to score the only goal in Fulham's Premier League clash with Luton Town at Craven Cottage.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Fulham and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 5-1 Fulham
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 1-2 West Ham
Friday, September 1 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fulham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fulham.

Result
FulhamDrawLuton Town
37.28% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 26.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 35.88% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.27% (0.011000000000003 0.01)53.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78% (0.010999999999999 0.01)75.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)63.49%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (0.012 0.01)28.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)64.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 37.27%
    Luton Town 35.88%
    Draw 26.83%
FulhamDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.47%
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 37.27%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.99% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.96% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.88%

How you voted: Fulham vs Luton

Fulham
77.3%
Draw
15.2%
Luton Town
7.6%
132
Head to Head
May 2, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 45
Fulham
7-0
Luton
Cairney (29'), Tete (39'), Carvalho (54'), Mitrovic (62', 90+2'), Reid (65'), Michael Seri (79')
Wilson (83'), Mitrovic (90+3')

Hylton (11'), Lockyer (27'), Snodgrass (35'), Lansbury (37'), Potts (51'), Muskwe (85')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Luton
1-1
Fulham
Adebayo (62')
Campbell (42')
Mitrovic (19')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 24
Luton
3-3
Fulham
LuaLua (5'), Collins (28'), Cornick (84')
Reid (9', 94'), Mitrovic (77')
Oct 23, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Fulham
3-2
Luton
Mitrovic (16', 53', 67')
Cairney (73')
Potts (60'), LuaLua (92')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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