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Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Craven Cottage
Luton Town

Fulham
1 - 0
Luton

Vinicius (65')
Castagne (40'), Diop (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Chong (27'), Kaminski (37')

The Match

Match Report

Carlos Vinicius comes off the bench to score the only goal in Fulham's Premier League clash with Luton Town at Craven Cottage.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Fulham and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 5-1 Fulham
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 1-2 West Ham
Friday, September 1 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fulham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fulham.

Result
FulhamDrawLuton Town
37.28% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 26.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 35.88% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.27% (0.011000000000003 0.01)53.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78% (0.010999999999999 0.01)75.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)63.49%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (0.012 0.01)28.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)64.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 37.27%
    Luton Town 35.88%
    Draw 26.83%
FulhamDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.47%
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 37.27%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.99% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.96% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.88%

How you voted: Fulham vs Luton

Fulham
77.3%
Draw
15.2%
Luton Town
7.6%
132
Head to Head
May 2, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 45
Fulham
7-0
Luton
Cairney (29'), Tete (39'), Carvalho (54'), Mitrovic (62', 90+2'), Reid (65'), Michael Seri (79')
Wilson (83'), Mitrovic (90+3')

Hylton (11'), Lockyer (27'), Snodgrass (35'), Lansbury (37'), Potts (51'), Muskwe (85')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Luton
1-1
Fulham
Adebayo (62')
Campbell (42')
Mitrovic (19')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 24
Luton
3-3
Fulham
LuaLua (5'), Collins (28'), Cornick (84')
Reid (9', 94'), Mitrovic (77')
Oct 23, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Fulham
3-2
Luton
Mitrovic (16', 53', 67')
Cairney (73')
Potts (60'), LuaLua (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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