EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Exeter1 - 0Luton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Wolves
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League
We said: Exeter City 0-3 Luton Town
Even with a wealth of first-team regulars expected to enjoy a night off, Luton should not have to overcome many obstacles to sink an Exeter crop whose morale is surely at an all-time low. A first clean sheet of the season should be on the menu for the Hatters too, as Edwards's side end the Grecians' EFL Cup adventure with a routine success at St James Park. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Luton Town |
30.45% ( 0.16) | 24.45% ( 0.05) | 45.1% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 57.8% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
