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Luton Town
Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
West Ham logo

Luton
1 - 2
West Ham

Andersen (90+2')
Nakamba (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bowen (37'), Zouma (85')
Palmieri (81')

The Match

Match Report

Luton Town's first Premier League match at the newly-refurbished Kenilworth Road ends in defeat as West Ham United move top of the table with a 2-1 victory.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 25.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a West Ham United win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawWest Ham United
49.59% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.26% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 25.15% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.18% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.37% (0.080999999999996 0.08)51.62% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.59% (0.07 0.07)73.41% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (0.031999999999996 0.03)20.83% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.49% (0.053999999999995 0.05)53.51% (-0.058 -0.06)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65% (0.054000000000002 0.05)35.34% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.89% (0.055999999999997 0.06)72.1% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 49.58%
    West Ham United 25.15%
    Draw 25.26%
Luton TownDrawWest Ham United
1-0 @ 11.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 9.06% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.93% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.74%
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 49.58%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.36% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 7.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 25.15%

How you voted: Luton vs West Ham

Luton Town
10.5%
Draw
8.6%
West Ham United
80.9%
257
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Luton
1-1
West Ham
Bradley (90')
Soucek (27')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa6411129313
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs6312125710
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
11Brentford6213810-27
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd621358-37
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Ipswich TownIpswich6042510-54
16Everton6114715-84
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