Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.08%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 7.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.73%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.