Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 79.72%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 6.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.56%) and 1-0 (10.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (2.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.