Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 69.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 11.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.