EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth
4 - 1
Everton

Lowe (7'), Stanislas (47'), Marcondes (78'), Anthony (82')
Anthony (73'), Pearson (84'), Stephens (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gray (67')
Gordon (44'), Mina (84')

Frank Lampard: 'Everton fringe players wasted chance to impress in EFL Cup'

Frank Lampard admits that Everton's fringe players wasted their opportunity to impress as the Toffees lost 4-1 to Bournemouth in the EFL Cup third round.

Nov 8, 23:55

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Bournemouth and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Leeds 4-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Everton

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Everton 0-2 Leicester
Saturday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bournemouth 1-1 Everton (Everton to win on penalties)

Neither Bournemouth nor Everton have truly covered themselves in glory in recent weeks, and a plethora of changes can be expected as both sides prioritise their league fortunes. Calvert-Lewin's injury will not help the Toffees on the attacking front either, and it would not be a surprise to see this third-round tie go all the way to penalties, where the visitors' recent successes from 12 yards should help them to a fourth-round appearance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Everton had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	Everton
41.74% ( 0.03)	25.72% ( -0)	32.54% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.42% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.4% (

0.01)

49.61% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.38% (

0.02)

71.63% (

-0.01)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.43% (

0.02)

23.58% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.36% (

0.03)

57.64% (

-0.03)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.21% (

-0.01)

28.79% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.37% (

-0.01)

64.64% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Bournemouth 41.74%

Everton 32.54%

Draw 25.72%

Bournemouth	Draw	Everton
1-0 @ 9.81% 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2% Total : 41.74%	1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.54%