EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth4 - 1Everton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leeds 4-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 0-2 Leicester
Saturday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Premier League
We said: Bournemouth 1-1 Everton (Everton to win on penalties)
Neither Bournemouth nor Everton have truly covered themselves in glory in recent weeks, and a plethora of changes can be expected as both sides prioritise their league fortunes. Calvert-Lewin's injury will not help the Toffees on the attacking front either, and it would not be a surprise to see this third-round tie go all the way to penalties, where the visitors' recent successes from 12 yards should help them to a fourth-round appearance. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Everton had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Everton |
41.74% ( 0.03) | 25.72% ( -0) | 32.54% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.42% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
