EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Round of 16

Dec 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
1 - 0
Bournemouth

Smith (67' og.)
Trippier (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cook (47')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United reach the EFL Cup quarter-finals after a 1-0 win over Bournemouth.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, December 17 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bournemouth

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Bournemouth 3-0 Everton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Bournemouth
58.62% ( -3.63)	21.09% ( 0.23)	20.29% ( 3.41)

Both teams to score 58.61% (

5.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.18% (

4.47)

38.82% (

-4.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.86% (

4.56)

61.13% (

-4.56)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87% (

0.35)

12.99% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.49% (

0.7)

39.51% (

-0.7)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.36% (

6.34)

32.64% (

-6.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.81% (

6.51)

69.18% (

-6.51)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 58.62%

Bournemouth 20.29%

Draw 21.09%

Newcastle United	Draw	Bournemouth
2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( -1.71) 1-0 @ 8.65% ( -1.82) 3-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.01% ( -1.08) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.62) 4-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.5) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.34) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.19) Other @ 3.68% Total : 58.62%	1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.85) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.96) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.42) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.09%	1-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.78) 0-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.35) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.6) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.56) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.27) Other @ 2.37% Total : 20.29%