Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 33

Apr 17, 2022 at 2.15pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
2 - 1
Leicester

Guimaraes (30', 90+5')
Krafth (84'), Guimaraes (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lookman (19')
Amartey (1'), Mendy (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Wolverhampton Wanderers	38	-5	51
11	Newcastle United	38	-18	49
12	Crystal Palace	38	4	48

Leicester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	West Ham United	38	9	56
8	Leicester City	38	3	52
9	Brighton & Hove Albion	38	-2	51

We said: Newcastle United 1-1 Leicester City

Newcastle have come a long way both on and off the pitch since being subjected to a 4-0 humbling against Leicester at the King Power, and a spate of positive home results makes it seem likely that another one could be in store here. The Foxes do have competent options for change amid their tough schedule and have also started to perform better domestically in recent weeks, so we think this battle has a score draw written all over it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Leicester City
34.77%	26.04%	39.19%

Both teams to score 53.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.5%

50.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.57%

72.42%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.17%

27.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.58%

63.42%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.7%

25.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.93%

60.06%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 34.77%

Leicester City 39.19%

Draw 26.04%

Newcastle United	Draw	Leicester City
1-0 @ 9% 2-1 @ 7.92% 2-0 @ 5.76% 3-1 @ 3.38% 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.77%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.04% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 9.67% 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 6.65% 1-3 @ 3.9% 0-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.54% Total : 39.19%