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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 17, 2022 at 2.15pm UK
St James' Park
Leicester logo

Newcastle
2 - 1
Leicester

Guimaraes (30', 90+5')
Krafth (84'), Guimaraes (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lookman (19')
Amartey (1'), Mendy (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newcastle United 1-1 Leicester City

Newcastle have come a long way both on and off the pitch since being subjected to a 4-0 humbling against Leicester at the King Power, and a spate of positive home results makes it seem likely that another one could be in store here. The Foxes do have competent options for change amid their tough schedule and have also started to perform better domestically in recent weeks, so we think this battle has a score draw written all over it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawLeicester City
34.77%26.04%39.19%
Both teams to score 53.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.5%50.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.57%72.42%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17%27.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58%63.42%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7%25.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93%60.06%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 34.77%
    Leicester City 39.19%
    Draw 26.04%
Newcastle UnitedDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 9%
2-1 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 5.76%
3-1 @ 3.38%
3-0 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 34.77%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.04%
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 9.67%
1-2 @ 8.51%
0-2 @ 6.65%
1-3 @ 3.9%
0-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 39.19%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Leicester

Newcastle United
32.5%
Draw
27.8%
Leicester City
39.6%
255
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2021 2pm
Leicester
4-0
Newcastle
Tielemans (38' pen., 81'), Daka (57'), Maddison (85')
Castagne (11'), Soyuncu (64')

Lewis (24'), Manquillo (70'), Saint-Maximin (90')
May 7, 2021 8pm
Leicester
2-4
Newcastle
Albrighton (80'), Iheanacho (87')
Iheanacho (72')
Willock (22'), Dummett (34'), Wilson (64', 73')
Krafth (56')
Jan 3, 2021 2.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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