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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 17, 2022 at 2.15pm UK
St James' Park
Leicester logo

Newcastle
2 - 1
Leicester

Guimaraes (30', 90+5')
Krafth (84'), Guimaraes (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lookman (19')
Amartey (1'), Mendy (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newcastle United 1-1 Leicester City

Newcastle have come a long way both on and off the pitch since being subjected to a 4-0 humbling against Leicester at the King Power, and a spate of positive home results makes it seem likely that another one could be in store here. The Foxes do have competent options for change amid their tough schedule and have also started to perform better domestically in recent weeks, so we think this battle has a score draw written all over it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawLeicester City
34.77%26.04%39.19%
Both teams to score 53.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.5%50.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.57%72.42%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17%27.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58%63.42%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7%25.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93%60.06%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 34.77%
    Leicester City 39.19%
    Draw 26.04%
Newcastle UnitedDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 9%
2-1 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 5.76%
3-1 @ 3.38%
3-0 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 34.77%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.04%
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 9.67%
1-2 @ 8.51%
0-2 @ 6.65%
1-3 @ 3.9%
0-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 39.19%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Leicester

Newcastle United
32.5%
Draw
27.8%
Leicester City
39.6%
255
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2021 2pm
Leicester
4-0
Newcastle
Tielemans (38' pen., 81'), Daka (57'), Maddison (85')
Castagne (11'), Soyuncu (64')

Lewis (24'), Manquillo (70'), Saint-Maximin (90')
May 7, 2021 8pm
Leicester
2-4
Newcastle
Albrighton (80'), Iheanacho (87')
Iheanacho (72')
Willock (22'), Dummett (34'), Wilson (64', 73')
Krafth (56')
Jan 3, 2021 2.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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