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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James' Park
Brighton logo

Newcastle
2 - 1
Brighton

Fraser (12'), Schar (14')
Joelinton (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Dunk (55')
Duffy (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Arsenal
Monday, May 16 at 8pm in Premier League
Next Game: Burnley vs. Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Brighton
Sunday, May 15 at 2pm in Premier League
Next Game: Brighton vs. West Ham
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Newcastle United 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion

There have been 22 Premier League draws in games involving Newcastle and Brighton so far this season, including the reverse fixture between the two teams, and another closely-fought contest could be on the cards this weekend. The Seagulls will likely make themselves difficult to break down but we can see the Magpies securing at least a point on home soil to maintain their unbeaten start to 2022. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
35.11%26.74%38.14%
Both teams to score 51.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.62%53.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.08%74.92%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99%29.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.09%64.91%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.79%27.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.37%62.62%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 35.11%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 38.14%
    Draw 26.74%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 9.77%
2-1 @ 7.87%
2-0 @ 6.04%
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 35.11%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 7.89%
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 8.28%
0-2 @ 6.69%
1-3 @ 3.59%
0-3 @ 2.9%
2-3 @ 2.22%
1-4 @ 1.17%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 38.14%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Brighton

Newcastle United
61.7%
Draw
26.7%
Brighton & Hove Albion
11.7%
180
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 5.30pm
Brighton
1-1
Newcastle
Trossard (24' pen.)
Lallana (75'), Bissouma (84'), Maupay (84')
Sanchez (90+2')
Hayden (66')
Lascelles (12'), Murphy (60'), Shelvey (69'), Wilson (73')
Mar 20, 2021 8pm
Sep 20, 2020 2pm
Newcastle
0-3
Brighton

Shelvey (12'), Lewis (25'), Lascelles (34')
Maupay (4' pen., 7'), Connolly (83')
Bissouma (89')
Jul 20, 2020 6pm
Brighton
0-0
Newcastle

Bissouma (23'), Gross (26'), Stephens (46'), Webster (87')

Ritchie (31'), Rose (63')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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