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Newcastle logo
Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 17, 2022 at 2.15pm UK
St James' Park
Leicester logo

Newcastle
2 - 1
Leicester

Guimaraes (30', 90+5')
Krafth (84'), Guimaraes (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lookman (19')
Amartey (1'), Mendy (90+6')

Preview: Newcastle United vs. Leicester City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fresh from enjoying one of the most memorable European nights in the club's history, Leicester City resume Premier League action with a trip to Newcastle United on Sunday afternoon.

Brendan Rodgers's side got the better of PSV Eindhoven in the Europa Conference League in midweek, while the Magpies most recently saw off Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-0.


Match preview

Newcastle United manager Eddie Howe holds the ball on April 8, 2022© Reuters

With any fears of a devastating relegation very nearly quashed, Newcastle United are looking firmly up the table rather than over their shoulder, and Eddie Howe's side recovered from a temporary blip in their revival to dent Wolves' European aspirations that little bit more.

Despite suffering an early injury blow to Ryan Fraser, the Magpies snapped a three-game losing streak in the top flight as Chris Wood tucked home a penalty in the 72nd minute against Bruno Lage's men, and Newcastle are now very nearly home and dry.

Before the weekend's fixtures kick off, Howe's side find themselves sitting pretty in 14th in the rankings - with a 10-point gap separating them from managerless Burnley, who do have a game in hand, in the bottom three - but a few daunting tests still await Newcastle.

Indeed, Arsenal, Manchester City and Liverpool will all pit their wits against the newly-rich Magpies before the curtain closes on a whirlwind of a season for the Toon Army, who will surely already have one eye on their team's summer transfer business as optimism continues to grow.

Furthermore, each of Newcastle's three most recent defeats came away from home, and the Magpies welcome Leicester to St James' Park having won each of their last four Premier League games on their own turf, and the Foxes - despite their joyous exertions - are not exactly well-rested.

 Leicester City manager Brendan Rodgers acknowledges fans after the match on April 10, 2022© Reuters

Failure to launch another strong charge for the Champions League places has no doubt come as a disappointment to the Leicester faithful, but they could yet see their beloved crop lifting a piece of European silverware aloft after getting the better of PSV Eindhoven on their own turf.

Youri Tielemans's mistake handed Eran Zahavi the opportunity to finish past Kasper Schmeichel from a tight angle, but creative hub James Maddison restored parity for Brendan Rodgers's side before Ricardo Pereira was in the right place at the right time to send Leicester into the Europa Conference League semi-finals.

An even more daunting clash with Jose Mourinho's Italian heavyweights Roma now awaits Leicester if they are to book their tickets to Tirana, but the European semi-finalists must now turn their attention back to consolidating a top-half spot in the Premier League table.

Rodgers's side managed to halt Crystal Palace's momentum with a 2-1 success at the King Power last weekend and occupy ninth spot in the table as a result, with Wolves nine points ahead of their mid-table counterparts having played three games more, but a late push for the top seven is surely a bridge too far for the Foxes.

Rodgers will therefore surely elect to prioritise a shot at glory in the Conference League for a Leicester side who have only managed to win one of their last nine Premier League games on the road, but they put four unanswered goals past Newcastle back in December and will head to St James' Park on cloud nine.

Newcastle United Premier League form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W

Leicester City Premier League form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W

Leicester City form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W



Team News

Newcastle United's Ryan Fraser during the warm up before the match on April 3, 2022© Reuters

As mentioned, Fraser was only on the field for 13 minutes against Leicester before having to be withdrawn with a thigh issue, but Howe has not ruled the Scottish winger out of contention for the visit of Leicester - Jacob Murphy and Miguel Almiron are both on standby, though.

Callum Wilson and Kieran Trippier are making strong progress in their recoveries but will not be fit for the weekend, while Jamal Lewis and Isaac Hayden remain out for the long term, and Joe Willock could be back in the fold after a knee injury.

The former Arsenal man is fighting an uphill battle to regain his spot in the XI, though, with Bruno Guimaraes starring in the Wolves win and seemingly cementing his spot in the starting lineup.

As for Leicester, Rodgers also has his own long-term absentee list, which currently includes Danny Ward, Ryan Bertrand and Wilfred Ndidi, and it remains to be seen when Jamie Vardy will be able to return to action.

Boubakary Soumare has been dealing with muscle soreness but should come back into contention for the trip North, and Rodgers will likely consider some alterations after a gruelling yet worthwhile trip to the Netherlands.

Patson Daka and Ayoze Perez both provided assists as substitutes against PSV and have staked their claims for starts here, while James Justin and Luke Thomas are ready to provide fresh legs in the wide areas if needed.

Newcastle United possible starting lineup:
Dubravka; Krafth, Schar, Burn, Targett; Shelvey, Guimaraes, Joelinton; Almiron, Wood, Saint-Maximin

Leicester City possible starting lineup:
Schmeichel; Justin, Fofana, Soyuncu, Thomas; Dewsbury-Hall, Soumare; Lookman, Maddison, Barnes; Daka


SM words green background

We say: Newcastle United 1-1 Leicester City

Newcastle have come a long way both on and off the pitch since being subjected to a 4-0 humbling against Leicester at the King Power, and a spate of positive home results makes it seem likely that another one could be in store here.

The Foxes do have competent options for change amid their tough schedule and have also started to perform better domestically in recent weeks, so we think this battle has a score draw written all over it.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:curl



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Newcastle vs Leicester

Newcastle United
32.5%
Draw
27.8%
Leicester City
39.6%
255
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Newcastle United's Ryan Fraser walks off the pitch dejected after sustaining an injury on April 8, 2022
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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