Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Everton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Everton.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Everton |
35.78% ( 0.05) | 25.33% ( -0.02) | 38.89% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 56.49% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.75% ( 0.07) | 47.25% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.52% ( 0.06) | 69.48% ( -0.07) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.32% ( 0.06) | 25.68% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.41% ( 0.08) | 60.59% ( -0.09) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.01% ( 0.01) | 23.98% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.77% ( 0.01) | 58.23% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Everton |
1-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 35.78% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.06% 0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 38.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
6 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
7 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
8 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
11 | Brentford | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 19 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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