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Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Southampton logo

Newcastle
1 - 0
Southampton

Joelinton (45')
Hall (9'), Burn (74')
Schar (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brereton Diaz (28'), Stephens (45+3'), Harwood-Bellis (73'), Edozie (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United overcome a first-half red card for Fabian Schar to record a 1-0 victory over Southampton in the Premier League at St James' Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Brest
Saturday, August 10 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Southampton 0-0 Getafe
Saturday, August 10 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.43%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawSouthampton
43.66% (-3.633 -3.63) 22.78% (0.767 0.77) 33.56% (2.868 2.87)
Both teams to score 65.32% (-1.502 -1.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.47% (-2.53 -2.53)35.53% (2.532 2.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.42% (-2.854 -2.85)57.57% (2.857 2.86)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.15% (-2.303 -2.3)16.85% (2.305 2.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.14% (-4.268 -4.27)46.86% (4.27 4.27)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (0.36000000000001 0.36)21.44% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.55% (0.55 0.55)54.45% (-0.547 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 43.66%
    Southampton 33.56%
    Draw 22.78%
Newcastle UnitedDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-0 @ 6.43% (0.32 0.32)
2-0 @ 5.73% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.532 -0.53)
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.362 -0.36)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.386 -0.39)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.449 -0.45)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.322 -0.32)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.311 -0.31)
4-3 @ 0.92% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 43.66%
1-1 @ 9.91% (0.596 0.6)
2-2 @ 6.79% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.61% (0.442 0.44)
3-3 @ 2.07% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.78%
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.535 0.54)
0-1 @ 5.56% (0.733 0.73)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.605 0.61)
1-3 @ 3.92% (0.314 0.31)
2-3 @ 3.49% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.33 0.33)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.136 0.14)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 33.56%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Southampton

Newcastle United
89.1%
Draw
6.4%
Southampton
4.5%
156
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 34
Newcastle
3-1
Southampton
Wilson (54', 81'), Walcott (79' og.)
Armstrong (41')
Jan 31, 2023 8pm
Jan 24, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Southampton
0-1
Newcastle
Joelinton (73')
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 15
Southampton
1-4
Newcastle
Perraud (89')
Almiron (35'), Wood (58'), Willock (62'), Guimaraes (90+1')
Mar 10, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
Southampton
1-2
Newcastle
Armstrong (25')
Bednarek (72')
Wood (32'), Guimaraes (52')
Murphy (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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