Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 34

Apr 30, 2023 at 2pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
3 - 1
Southampton

Wilson (54', 81'), Walcott (79' og.)
Joelinton (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Armstrong (41')
Bednarek (4'), Walker-Peters (56'), Selles (57+57'), Armstrong (71+71'), Armstrong (71'), Lavia (72')

Newcastle United's Callum Wilson sets new club record in Southampton win

Newcastle United striker Callum Wilson breaks Alan Shearer's club record during Sunday's 3-1 home win over Southampton.

Apr 30, 23:49

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United score three second-half goals to earn maximum points off Southampton.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Last Game: Everton 1-4 Newcastle
Thursday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Bournemouth
Thursday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 73.02%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 10.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.4%) and 3-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Southampton
73.02% ( -0.08)	16.7% ( 0.05)	10.28% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 48.27% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.33% (

-0.17)

39.67% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.97% (

-0.18)

62.02% (

0.18)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.54% (

-0.06)

9.45% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.25% (

-0.14)

31.74% (

0.15)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.31% (

-0.06)

46.68% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.75% (

-0.05)

82.25% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 73%

Southampton 10.28%

Draw 16.7%

Newcastle United	Draw	Southampton
2-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 9.65% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.7% Total : 73%	1-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 16.7%	0-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.02% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.71% Total : 10.28%