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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 26, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
City Ground
Brighton logo

Nott'm Forest
3 - 1
Brighton

Gross (45+3' og.), Danilo (69'), Gibbs-White (90+1' pen.)
Felipe (4'), Navas (90+14')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Match Report

Nottingham Forest beat Brighton & Hove Albion 3-1 at the City Ground to move out of the Premier League relegation zone.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 3-2 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 69.62%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 12.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 2-1 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
12.88% (-0.045 -0.04) 17.5% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 69.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.5% (-0.391 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.84% (-0.429 -0.43)36.15% (0.428 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.73% (-0.472 -0.47)58.27% (0.471 0.47)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.11% (-0.354 -0.35)39.88% (0.354 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.45% (-0.325 -0.32)76.54% (0.32400000000001 0.32)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.65% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)9.34% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.5% (-0.274 -0.27)31.5% (0.273 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 12.88%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 69.62%
    Draw 17.5%
Nottingham ForestDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 3.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 3.43% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 12.88%
1-1 @ 8.12% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.73% (0.078 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 17.5%
0-2 @ 10.47% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 9.62% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.84% (0.141 0.14)
0-3 @ 8.27% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 7.6% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 4.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 4.51% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-5 @ 2.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.14% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-4 @ 2.07% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-5 @ 0.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-6 @ 0.92% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 69.62%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Brighton

Nottingham Forest
19.8%
Draw
12.5%
Brighton & Hove Albion
67.7%
192
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7.30pm
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Nott'm Forest
3-0
Brighton
Clough (60', 98' pen.), Osborn (89')

Stephens (45'), Dunk (63'), Rosenior (98')
Aug 12, 2016 7.45pm
Brighton
3-0
Nott'm Forest
Knockaert (36'), Murray (68', 82')
Bong (43'), Hemed (58'), Baldock (88')

Kasami (45'), Iacovitti (59'), Burke (67'), Pereira (73'), Lansbury (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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