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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 26, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
City Ground
Brighton logo

Nott'm Forest
3 - 1
Brighton

Gross (45+3' og.), Danilo (69'), Gibbs-White (90+1' pen.)
Felipe (4'), Navas (90+14')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Match Report

Nottingham Forest beat Brighton & Hove Albion 3-1 at the City Ground to move out of the Premier League relegation zone.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 3-2 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 69.62%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 12.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 2-1 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
12.88% (-0.045 -0.04) 17.5% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 69.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.5% (-0.391 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.84% (-0.429 -0.43)36.15% (0.428 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.73% (-0.472 -0.47)58.27% (0.471 0.47)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.11% (-0.354 -0.35)39.88% (0.354 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.45% (-0.325 -0.32)76.54% (0.32400000000001 0.32)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.65% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)9.34% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.5% (-0.274 -0.27)31.5% (0.273 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 12.88%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 69.62%
    Draw 17.5%
Nottingham ForestDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 3.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 3.43% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 12.88%
1-1 @ 8.12% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.73% (0.078 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 17.5%
0-2 @ 10.47% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 9.62% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.84% (0.141 0.14)
0-3 @ 8.27% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 7.6% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 4.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 4.51% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-5 @ 2.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.14% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-4 @ 2.07% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-5 @ 0.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-6 @ 0.92% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 69.62%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Brighton

Nottingham Forest
19.8%
Draw
12.5%
Brighton & Hove Albion
67.7%
192
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7.30pm
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Nott'm Forest
3-0
Brighton
Clough (60', 98' pen.), Osborn (89')

Stephens (45'), Dunk (63'), Rosenior (98')
Aug 12, 2016 7.45pm
Brighton
3-0
Nott'm Forest
Knockaert (36'), Murray (68', 82')
Bong (43'), Hemed (58'), Baldock (88')

Kasami (45'), Iacovitti (59'), Burke (67'), Pereira (73'), Lansbury (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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