Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 29

Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK

Falmer Stadium

Brighton
3 - 3
Brentford

Mitoma (21'), Welbeck (28'), Mac Allister (90' pen.)
Mac Allister (90+6'), Gross (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Jansson (10'), Toney (22'), Pinnock (49')
Hickey (89')

Brighton's Kaoru Mitoma breaks Japanese Premier League scoring record

Kaoru Mitoma breaks a Japanese Premier League scoring record after finding the net in Brighton & Hove Albion's thrilling 3-3 draw with Brentford.

Apr 1, 18:24

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion and Brentford share the points in a thrilling 3-3 draw at the Amex.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 5-0 Grimsby Town
Sunday, March 19 at 2.15pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brentford

All competitions

Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Leicester
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 68.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 12.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Brentford win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Brentford
68.02%	19.35%	12.62%

Both teams to score 47.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.58%

45.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.25%

67.75%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.68%

12.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.88%

38.12%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.75%

46.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.08%

81.91%

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 68.02%

Brentford 12.62%

Draw 19.35%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Brentford
2-0 @ 12.49% 1-0 @ 11.93% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 8.72% 3-1 @ 6.72% 4-0 @ 4.56% 4-1 @ 3.52% 3-2 @ 2.59% 5-0 @ 1.91% 5-1 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.11% Total : 68.02%	1-1 @ 9.2% 0-0 @ 5.7% 2-2 @ 3.71% Other @ 0.74% Total : 19.35%	0-1 @ 4.39% 1-2 @ 3.55% 0-2 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 0.96% 1-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.12% Total : 12.62%