Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 66.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 13.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Crystal Palace |
66.75% ( 0.96) | 19.95% ( -0.46) | 13.3% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 47.16% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.58% ( 0.86) | 46.42% ( -0.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.29% ( 0.8) | 68.7% ( -0.8) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.01% ( 0.55) | 12.99% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.5% ( 1.1) | 39.5% ( -1.1) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.2% ( -0.23) | 45.8% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.43% ( -0.18) | 81.56% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Crystal Palace |
2-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 12.14% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.85% Total : 66.75% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.74% Total : 19.95% | 0-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.19% Total : 13.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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