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FA Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 19, 2023 at 2.15pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Grimsby Town

Brighton
5 - 0
Grimsby Town

Undav (6'), Ferguson (51', 70'), March (82'), Mitoma (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion thrashed Grimsby Town 5-0 at the Amex Stadium on Sunday to reach the FA Cup semi-finals, as the League Two visitors were denied making history.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 69.66%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 11.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawGrimsby Town
69.66% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15) 18.62% (0.0030000000000001 0) 11.71% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 46.68% (0.45200000000001 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.52% (0.355 0.35)44.47% (-0.354 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.15% (0.343 0.34)66.84% (-0.343 -0.34)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.4% (0.060000000000002 0.06)11.6% (-0.06 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.41% (0.133 0.13)36.58% (-0.133 -0.13)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.81% (0.476 0.48)47.19% (-0.476 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.37% (0.354 0.35)82.63% (-0.354 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 69.66%
    Grimsby Town 11.71%
    Draw 18.62%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawGrimsby Town
2-0 @ 12.7% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-0 @ 11.79% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.12% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.85% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.91% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.048 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.59% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 69.66%
1-1 @ 8.86% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 18.62%
0-1 @ 4.11% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.33% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.54% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 11.71%

How you voted: Brighton vs Grimsby Town

Brighton & Hove Albion
67.7%
Draw
9.7%
Grimsby Town
22.6%
31
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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