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FA Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 19, 2023 at 2.15pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Grimsby Town

Brighton
5 - 0
Grimsby Town

Undav (6'), Ferguson (51', 70'), March (82'), Mitoma (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion thrashed Grimsby Town 5-0 at the Amex Stadium on Sunday to reach the FA Cup semi-finals, as the League Two visitors were denied making history.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 69.66%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 11.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawGrimsby Town
69.66% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15) 18.62% (0.0030000000000001 0) 11.71% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 46.68% (0.45200000000001 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.52% (0.355 0.35)44.47% (-0.354 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.15% (0.343 0.34)66.84% (-0.343 -0.34)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.4% (0.060000000000002 0.06)11.6% (-0.06 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.41% (0.133 0.13)36.58% (-0.133 -0.13)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.81% (0.476 0.48)47.19% (-0.476 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.37% (0.354 0.35)82.63% (-0.354 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 69.66%
    Grimsby Town 11.71%
    Draw 18.62%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawGrimsby Town
2-0 @ 12.7% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-0 @ 11.79% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.12% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.85% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.91% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.048 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.59% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 69.66%
1-1 @ 8.86% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 18.62%
0-1 @ 4.11% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.33% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.54% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 11.71%

How you voted: Brighton vs Grimsby Town

Brighton & Hove Albion
67.7%
Draw
9.7%
Grimsby Town
22.6%
31
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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