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Premier League | Gameweek 35
May 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
City Ground
Southampton logo

Nott'm Forest
4 - 3
Southampton

Awoniyi (18', 21'), Gibbs-White (44' pen.), Danilo (73')
Lodi (78')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Alcaraz (25'), Lyanco (51'), Ward-Prowse (90+6' pen.)

The Match

Match Report

Nottingham Forest move up to 16th place with a 4-3 victory against Southampton after a nervy finish at the City Ground.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 3-1 Southampton
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawSouthampton
42.86% (-0.34 -0.34) 27.06% (0.143 0.14) 30.08% (0.193 0.19)
Both teams to score 49.25% (-0.332 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.2% (-0.467 -0.47)55.8% (0.464 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.07% (-0.383 -0.38)76.92% (0.38 0.38)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.22% (-0.387 -0.39)25.77% (0.383 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.28% (-0.525 -0.52)60.72% (0.523 0.52)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.35% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)33.64% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.7% (-0.111 -0.11)70.29% (0.108 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 42.85%
    Southampton 30.08%
    Draw 27.05%
Nottingham ForestDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 11.75% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.97% (-0.032000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.85%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.67% (0.154 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 9.45% (0.143 0.14)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.15% (0.063999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 30.08%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Southampton

Nottingham Forest
70.5%
Draw
15.5%
Southampton
14.0%
129
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2023 7.30pm
Jan 14, 2012 3pm
Sep 10, 2011 3pm
Southampton
3-2
Nott'm Forest
Lambert (8', 24', 82')
Connolly (33'), Cork (51')
Majewski (42'), Derbyshire (7')
Moussi (26'), Gunter (33'), Derbyshire (81')
May 3, 2009 3pm
Dec 20, 2008 3pm
Southampton
0-2
Nott'm Forest

Lallana (19'), Cork (43'), Skacel (61'), Perry (90')
Morgan (42'), Garner (75')
Cohen (26'), Moloney (35')
rhs 2.0
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Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa6411129313
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs6312125710
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
11Bournemouth622289-18
12Brentford6213810-27
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd621358-37
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Ipswich TownIpswich6042510-54
16Everton6114715-84
17Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
18Crystal Palace603359-43
19Southampton6015312-91
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101


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