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Premier League | Gameweek 35
May 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
City Ground
Southampton logo

Nott'm Forest
4 - 3
Southampton

Awoniyi (18', 21'), Gibbs-White (44' pen.), Danilo (73')
Lodi (78')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Alcaraz (25'), Lyanco (51'), Ward-Prowse (90+6' pen.)

The Match

Match Report

Nottingham Forest move up to 16th place with a 4-3 victory against Southampton after a nervy finish at the City Ground.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 3-1 Southampton
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawSouthampton
42.86% (-0.34 -0.34) 27.06% (0.143 0.14) 30.08% (0.193 0.19)
Both teams to score 49.25% (-0.332 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.2% (-0.467 -0.47)55.8% (0.464 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.07% (-0.383 -0.38)76.92% (0.38 0.38)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.22% (-0.387 -0.39)25.77% (0.383 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.28% (-0.525 -0.52)60.72% (0.523 0.52)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.35% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)33.64% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.7% (-0.111 -0.11)70.29% (0.108 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 42.85%
    Southampton 30.08%
    Draw 27.05%
Nottingham ForestDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 11.75% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.97% (-0.032000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.85%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.67% (0.154 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 9.45% (0.143 0.14)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.15% (0.063999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 30.08%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Southampton

Nottingham Forest
70.5%
Draw
15.5%
Southampton
14.0%
129
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2023 7.30pm
Jan 14, 2012 3pm
Sep 10, 2011 3pm
Southampton
3-2
Nott'm Forest
Lambert (8', 24', 82')
Connolly (33'), Cork (51')
Majewski (42'), Derbyshire (7')
Moussi (26'), Gunter (33'), Derbyshire (81')
May 3, 2009 3pm
Dec 20, 2008 3pm
Southampton
0-2
Nott'm Forest

Lallana (19'), Cork (43'), Skacel (61'), Perry (90')
Morgan (42'), Garner (75')
Cohen (26'), Moloney (35')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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