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Premier League | Gameweek 31
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Crystal Palace logo

Southampton
0 - 2
Crystal Palace


Lavia (52'), Bednarek (90'), Bella-Kotchap (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Eze (54', 68')
Andersen (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Southampton 1-4 Man City
Saturday, April 8 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Crystal Palace

All competitions
Last Game: Leeds 1-5 Crystal Palace
Sunday, April 9 at 2pm in Premier League

We said: Southampton 1-3 Crystal Palace

 Even if Southampton can draw first blood on the South Coast, Palace are the masters at overcoming in-game adversity - gleaning a league-high 20 points from losing positions this term and coming from behind to win in both games under Hodgson so far. The Saints can feel optimistic of nicking the odd goal, but a merciless Palace attack will no doubt take advantage of any uncertainty over Lavia's fitness, and we can only back the Eagles to continue their purple patch with a third win on the bounce. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawCrystal Palace
35.23% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03) 25.59% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 39.18% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.54% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.55% (0.016999999999996 0.02)48.45% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.42% (0.016999999999999 0.02)70.58% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.43% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)26.57% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.22% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)61.78% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63% (0.024999999999991 0.02)24.37% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.22% (0.033999999999999 0.03)58.78% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 35.23%
    Crystal Palace 39.18%
    Draw 25.58%
SouthamptonDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 8.58% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 5.69% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 35.23%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 9.14% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 8.55% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.04% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 39.18%

How you voted: Southampton vs Crystal Palace

Southampton
19.3%
Draw
17.4%
Crystal Palace
63.3%
109
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 12.30pm
Third Round
Crystal Palace
1-2
Southampton
Edouard (14')
Ward (36')
Ward-Prowse (37'), Armstrong (68')
Perraud (59'), Caleta-Car (67'), Ward-Prowse (75'), Walker-Peters (88')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-0
Southampton
Edouard (38')

Lyanco (31')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Southampton
1-2
Crystal Palace
Romeu (9')
Bednarek (16')
Eze (60'), Zaha (90+2')
Mateta (16'), McArthur (38'), Ward (45+2')
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Crystal Palace
2-2
Southampton
Zaha (2'), Ayew (65')
Guehi (25'), Tomkins (73')
Ward-Prowse (32'), Broja (36')
Livramento (67'), Salisu (84'), Lyanco (88'), Caballero (90+6')
May 11, 2021 8.15pm
Southampton
3-1
Crystal Palace
Ings (19', 75'), Adams (48')
Bednarek (44'), Vestergaard (54')
Benteke (2')
Ayew (45+1'), Kouyate (77'), Zaha (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


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