Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 33

Apr 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
0 - 1
Bournemouth

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tavernier (50')
Senesi (65'), Lerma (77'), Vina (86')

The Match

Match Report

Southampton's relegation fears deepen after suffering a 1-0 defeat at home to Bournemouth in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Arsenal 3-3 Southampton
Friday, April 21 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bournemouth

All competitions

Last Game: Bournemouth 0-4 West Ham
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Bournemouth
40.97% ( -0.76)	26.82% ( 0.18)	32.21% ( 0.58)

Both teams to score 50.82% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.82% (

-0.53)

54.18% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.41% (

-0.44)

75.59% (

0.44)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.97% (

-0.64)

26.03% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.94% (

-0.87)

61.06% (

0.87)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.7% (

0.13)

31.29% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.35% (

0.15)

67.65% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Southampton 40.97%

Bournemouth 32.21%

Draw 26.81%

Southampton	Draw	Bournemouth
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.26% Total : 40.97%	1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.81%	0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.21%