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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Southampton
0 - 1
Bournemouth

FT(HT: 0-0)
Tavernier (50')
Senesi (65'), Lerma (77'), Vina (86')

The Match

Match Report

Southampton's relegation fears deepen after suffering a 1-0 defeat at home to Bournemouth in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 3-3 Southampton
Friday, April 21 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-4 West Ham
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawBournemouth
40.97% (-0.759 -0.76) 26.82% (0.175 0.18) 32.21% (0.584 0.58)
Both teams to score 50.82% (-0.345 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.82% (-0.53 -0.53)54.18% (0.529 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.41% (-0.444 -0.44)75.59% (0.44499999999999 0.44)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-0.64099999999999 -0.64)26.03% (0.642 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-0.87 -0.87)61.06% (0.869 0.87)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.7% (0.129 0.13)31.29% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.35% (0.149 0.15)67.65% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 40.97%
    Bournemouth 32.21%
    Draw 26.81%
SouthamptonDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 10.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 40.97%
1-1 @ 12.73% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.167 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.227 0.23)
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.5% (0.152 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.21%

How you voted: Southampton vs Bournemouth

Southampton
45.7%
Draw
16.4%
Bournemouth
37.9%
140
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2022 7.30pm
Mar 20, 2021 12.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Bournemouth
0-3
Southampton

Wilshere (84'), Surridge (90+3')
Djenepo (37'), Redmond (45+1', 59')
Bednarek (30'), Vestergaard (74')
Jul 19, 2020 2pm
Sep 20, 2019 8pm
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
gameweek 36
Southampton
3-3
Bournemouth
Long (12'), Ward-Prowse (55'), Targett (67')
Romeu (26'), Long (35')
Gosling (20'), Wilson (32', 86')
Gosling (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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