Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Brentford |
42.84% ( -0.16) | 26.86% ( -0.13) | 30.3% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 49.96% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.06% ( 0.61) | 54.94% ( -0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.78% ( 0.5) | 76.22% ( -0.5) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.6% ( 0.19) | 25.39% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.8% ( 0.26) | 60.2% ( -0.27) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.96% ( 0.53) | 33.03% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.37% ( 0.58) | 69.63% ( -0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Brentford |
1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 42.84% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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