Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.