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EFL Cup
Cardiff City logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Southampton logo

Cardiff
3 - 5
Southampton

Colwill (21'), Edwards (48' og.), Robertson (57')
Colwill (36'), Fagan-Walcott (89')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Fernandes (10'), Amo-Ameyaw (30'), Archer (55', 90+4'), Bree (90+1')
Obling (53'), Bree (69'), Wood (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Cardiff City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Cardiff
Sunday, August 25 at 3pm in Championship

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Cardiff City 0-2 Southampton

 Cardiff have been vulnerable in defence so far this season, conceding eight in four matches, while the hosts have shown signs of promise in attack, and we expect the visitors to finally find their goalscoring form and take the victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSouthampton
32.8% (0.23999999999999 0.24) 24% (0.071000000000002 0.07) 43.19% (-0.316 -0.32)
Both teams to score 60.47% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.24% (-0.261 -0.26)41.76% (0.256 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.84% (-0.264 -0.26)64.16% (0.26 0.26)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02)24.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.6% (0.024000000000001 0.02)59.4% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (-0.24499999999999 -0.24)19.57% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.51% (-0.395 -0.39)51.48% (0.391 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 32.8%
    Southampton 43.19%
    Draw 23.99%
Cardiff CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 7.69% (0.04 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.77% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.72% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.57% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 32.8%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.86% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.99%
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.92% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.51% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.43% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 43.19%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Southampton

Cardiff City
20.5%
Draw
11.6%
Southampton
67.9%
112
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Cardiff
2-1
Southampton
Diedhiou (68'), Ashford (90+6')
Phillips (82')
Aribo (12')
Armstrong (43'), Deen Sulemana (81'), Bednarek (90+1')
> Preview
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Southampton
2-0
Cardiff
Armstrong (11', 15')
Downes (25')

Colwill (72')
> Preview
Jul 27, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Cardiff
0-4
Southampton
Walcott (37'), Djenepo (66'), Adams (73', 84')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Southampton
1-2
Cardiff
Stephens (91')
Ward-Prowse (45'), Redmond (89'), Romeu (90')
Bamba (69'), Zohore (93')
Gunnarsson (61'), Bamba (70'), Zohore (90')
> Match Report
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Cardiff
1-0
Southampton
Paterson (74')
Morrison (19'), Bennett (66')

Valery (28'), Romeu (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


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