Man City

4 - 1

Ipswich

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.95%) and 3-1 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Ipswich Town win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.