Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 17.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Norwich City |
59.28% | 23.41% | 17.31% |
Both teams to score 45.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.94% | 53.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.36% | 74.64% |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.39% | 17.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.8% | 48.2% |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.75% | 44.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.67% | 80.33% |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 13.53% 2-0 @ 11.75% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 6.8% 3-1 @ 5.55% 4-0 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 2.26% 5-0 @ 1.03% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.44% Total : 59.27% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 7.79% 2-2 @ 3.91% Other @ 0.67% Total : 23.4% | 0-1 @ 6.35% 1-2 @ 4.5% 0-2 @ 2.59% 1-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.59% Total : 17.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |