FA Cup | Fifth Round
Mar 2, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton3 - 1West Ham
We said: Southampton 2-1 West Ham United
This has all the makings of a truly fascinating affair between a Southampton side enjoying their best run of the season and a Hammers side seeking to mark their rapid rise with a slice of domestic glory. It would not be at all surprising to see this one decided in extra time or from spot kicks, but with the Saints proving increasingly resilient at home and West Ham struggling to keep the back door shut on the road, we can envisage Hasenhuttl's men advancing to the last eight. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | West Ham United |
| 33.38% | 25.49% | 41.13% |
| Both teams to score 55.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
