Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
We say: Southampton 1-1 West Ham United
Not since 2015 have West Ham fallen to defeat against the team starting the day at the bottom of the Premier League table, and while that trend should continue on Boxing Day, Lopetegui's men may have to be content with just the one point.
Missing two of their principle attacking threats in Antonio and Paqueta, the Irons will have their work cut out against a Saints backline that has been shored up since Russell Martin's exit, and Juric's Premier League tenure appears destined to begin with a low-scoring stalemate.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a West Ham United win with a probability of 44.97% . A win for Southampton has a probability of 32.78% and a draw has a probability of 22.2% .
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.79% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (5.98%) and 0-2 (5.59%) . The likeliest Southampton win is 2-1 (7.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.41%) .
Result Southampton Draw West Ham United 32.78% ( 0.44) 22.25% ( 0.04) 44.97% ( -0.48)
Both teams to score 67.04% ( 0.05)
66.85% ( -0.01) 33.15% ( 0.01)
45.1% ( -0.01) 54.9% ( 0.01)
79.27% ( 0.23) 20.73% ( -0.23)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 46.64% ( 0.36) 53.36% ( -0.36)
84.58% ( -0.18) 15.42% ( 0.18)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 55.75% ( -0.33) 44.25% ( 0.33)
Southampton 32.78%
West Ham United 44.97%
Draw 22.25%
Southampton Draw West Ham United 2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.86% Total : 32.78% 1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.2% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.25% 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.48% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.14% Total : 44.97%
Who will win Thursday's Premier League clash between Southampton and West Ham?
Southampton
Draw
West Ham United
30
rhs 2.0
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