Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 31

Apr 2, 2022 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
0 - 2
Man City

Weghorst (13')

FT(HT: 0-2)

De Bruyne (5'), Gundogan (25')

Manchester City's Aymeric Laporte breaks two Premier League records in Burnley victory

Aymeric Laporte breaks two Premier League records following Manchester City's 2-0 victory away at Burnley on Saturday.

Apr 2, 18:12

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

Last Six:

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Leeds United	38	-37	38
18	Burnley	38	-19	35
19	Watford	38	-43	23

Manchester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Manchester City	38	73	93
2	Liverpool	38	68	92
3	Chelsea	38	43	74

We said: Burnley 0-2 Manchester City

Burnley will be competitive against Man City, but it is very difficult to imagine anything other than an away victory in this match. The Citizens know that they cannot afford to slip up due to the presence of Liverpool, and Guardiola's side should win this game relatively comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 86.47%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 3.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.73%) and 0-4 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.63%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Manchester City in this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Manchester City
3.72%	9.81%	86.47%

Both teams to score 36.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.8%

33.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.03%

54.97%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

38.75%

61.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.72%

91.28%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.77%

5.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.34%

20.66%

Score Analysis

Burnley 3.72%

Manchester City 86.46%

Draw 9.81%

Burnley	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 1.57% 2-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.02% Total : 3.72%	1-1 @ 4.63% 0-0 @ 3.2% 2-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.3% Total : 9.81%	0-2 @ 13.95% 0-3 @ 13.73% 0-4 @ 10.13% 0-1 @ 9.45% 1-2 @ 6.84% 1-3 @ 6.73% 0-5 @ 5.98% 1-4 @ 4.97% 0-6 @ 2.94% 1-5 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 1.65% 1-6 @ 1.44% 0-7 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.25% Total : 86.46%