Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24

Feb 26, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal

Arouca
1 - 1
Moreirense

Bruninho (79')
Kouassi (67'), Bruninho (86'), Nunes (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Yan (44')
Paulinho (45+2'), Pacheco (56')
Pacheco (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Arouca 1-1 Moreirense

On the back of an impressive win over Vitoria de Guimaraes, Arouca will head into Saturday's with renewed confidence. However, the visitors will fancy their chances against the hosts, who have lost each of their last five games, scoring just once in that time. We predict the spoils will be shared in this one with both sides settling for a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 36.29%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.2%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (12.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Moreirense
33.61%	30.1%	36.29%

Both teams to score 41.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.55%

65.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.8%

84.2%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.76%

36.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.97%

73.03%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.6%

34.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.89%

71.11%

Score Analysis

Arouca 33.61%

Moreirense 36.29%

Draw 30.09%

Arouca	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 12.65% 2-1 @ 6.85% 2-0 @ 6.42% 3-1 @ 2.32% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.95% Total : 33.61%	1-1 @ 13.5% 0-0 @ 12.46% 2-2 @ 3.66% Other @ 0.47% Total : 30.09%	0-1 @ 13.3% 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 7.1% 1-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.3% Total : 36.29%