Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 20, 2022 at 8pm UK

Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
0 - 1
Porto

Jorge (3'), Camara (4'), Silva (12'), Rosic (45+2'), Luis (68'), Vitoria (84'), Galego (90+3')
Vitoria (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Evanilson (40')
Uribe (34'), Cardoso (64'), Grujic (71')
Grujic (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Porto head into Sunday's game as one of the most in-form sides in the Primeira Liga and will fancy their chances against an opposing side who they are unbeaten against since 2017. Looking at the gulf in quality and experience between the two teams, we are tipping the visitors to ease to all three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 74.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 9.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.62%) and 0-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Porto
9.95%	15.85%	74.2%

Both teams to score 50.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.43%

36.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.28%

58.72%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.78%

45.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.89%

81.11%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.59%

8.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.77%

29.23%

Score Analysis

Moreirense 9.95%

Porto 74.19%

Draw 15.85%

Moreirense	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 3.02% 2-1 @ 2.97% 2-0 @ 1.2% 3-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.79% Total : 9.95%	1-1 @ 7.47% 0-0 @ 3.8% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.91% Total : 15.85%	0-2 @ 11.65% 0-3 @ 9.62% 0-1 @ 9.42% 1-2 @ 9.25% 1-3 @ 7.64% 0-4 @ 5.96% 1-4 @ 4.73% 2-3 @ 3.03% 0-5 @ 2.95% 1-5 @ 2.34% 2-4 @ 1.88% 0-6 @ 1.22% 1-6 @ 0.97% 2-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.63% Total : 74.19%