Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas
Moreirense0 - 1Porto
We said: Moreirense 0-3 Porto
Porto head into Sunday's game as one of the most in-form sides in the Primeira Liga and will fancy their chances against an opposing side who they are unbeaten against since 2017. Looking at the gulf in quality and experience between the two teams, we are tipping the visitors to ease to all three points on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 74.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 9.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.62%) and 0-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Porto |
| 9.95% | 15.85% | 74.2% |
| Both teams to score 50.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
