Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 22, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
0 - 2
Santa Clara

Vitoria (60')
Vitoria (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Antonio (45+2'), Mohebi (85')
Mansur (63'), Mohebi (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Moreirense 1-1 Santa Clara

With just one point and one place separating the sides in the table, we can expect a thrilling contest with both sides going all out for all three points. On paper, they are evenly matched heading into the game, and we are tipping a share of the spoils at the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Santa Clara
41.74%	27.83%	30.42%

Both teams to score 47.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.48%

58.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.9%

79.1%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.37%

27.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.83%

63.17%

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.17%

34.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.44%

71.56%

Score Analysis

Moreirense 41.74%

Santa Clara 30.42%

Draw 27.83%

Moreirense	Draw	Santa Clara
1-0 @ 12.37% 2-1 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 7.96% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-0 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.84% Total : 41.74%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.62% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.83%	0-1 @ 10.15% 1-2 @ 6.89% 0-2 @ 5.35% 1-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.17% Total : 30.42%