Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca1 - 0Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Maritimo 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, October 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, October 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Spurs 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Arouca 1-3 Sporting Lisbon
Looking at past results between the sides, Sporting Lisbon head into the weekend as firm favourites to come away with all three points, having won each of their previous 12 encounters. The Leoes boast a significantly superior and more experienced squad and we are backing them to take the positives from their draw at Tottenham and pick up all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 63.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 15.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
15.75% ( 0.13) | 20.53% ( 0.21) | 63.72% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 51.47% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
