Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca1 - 1Pacos de Ferreira
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-2 Arouca
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-0 Santa Clara
Saturday, March 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
18
We said: Arouca 1-2 Pacos de Ferreira
Arouca have put together a solid run of results in recent weeks as they continue their hunt for a first appearance in Europe since the 2016-17 campaign. However, we predict that Pacos de Ferreira will build on their impressive display against Santa Clara and pick up a slender victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 47.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 25.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
47.29% ( 0.2) | 27.68% ( 0.27) | 25.02% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 44.3% ( -1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
