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Boavista
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Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Arouca

Guimaraes
0 - 2
Arouca


Silva (27'), Bamba (80'), Amaro (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mujica (50'), Antony (77')
Nunes (36'), Galovic (45'), De Arruabarrena (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-3 Guimaraes
Sunday, March 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Arouca

All competitions
Last Game: Boavista 0-0 Arouca
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Arouca

 Vitoria have won five in six, which is expected to become six in seven, with their impressive sequence of wins facing an Arouca side that struggles on their travels, claiming just two wins on the road all season. Without a triumph on their travels since November 5, their five-game away run without a win should extend to six. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 24.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawArouca
49.47% (-0.13699999999999 -0.14) 26.2% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 24.33% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 47.67% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.16% (0.027999999999999 0.03)55.84% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.04% (0.023 0.02)76.96% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.37% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)22.63% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.75% (-0.073 -0.07)56.25% (0.07 0.07)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.61% (0.121 0.12)38.39% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.86% (0.119 0.12)75.14% (-0.121 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 49.46%
    Arouca 24.33%
    Draw 26.19%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawArouca
1-0 @ 12.9% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 49.46%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 8.32% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.92% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.98% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 24.33%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Arouca

Vitoria de Guimaraes
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Arouca
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 3.30pm
Arouca
2-2
Guimaraes
Bukia (33'), Quaresma (70')
Silva (57'), Lameiras (90+12' pen.)
Amaro (31')
Feb 19, 2022 8.30pm
Guimaraes
1-3
Arouca
Estupinan (26')
Luz (67'), Quaresma (80'), Janvier (86'), Fernandes (88')
Basso (13'), Antony (35'), Bukia (41')
Kouassi (27'), Galovic (48'), Simao (70'), Silva (89')
Sep 18, 2021 8.30pm
Arouca
2-2
Guimaraes
Dabbagh (75'), Pite (90+4')
Bento Oleques (54')
Quaresma (7'), Silva (72')
Fernandes (23'), Quaresma (37')
May 7, 2017 6pm
Guimaraes
1-0
Arouca
Marega (76')
Gaspar (42')

Jubal (15'), Costa de Brito (68')
Dec 23, 2016 9pm
Arouca
0-1
Guimaraes

Santos (36'), Bastos (87')
Hernani (80')
Sa (38'), Raphinha (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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