Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 72.59%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 11.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-2 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Arouca |
72.59% (![]() | 16.15% (![]() | 11.26% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.27% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.12% (![]() | 33.88% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.27% (![]() | 55.73% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.89% (![]() | 8.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.51% (![]() | 28.48% (![]() |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.06% (![]() | 40.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.49% (![]() | 77.5% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Arouca |
2-0 @ 10.47% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.77% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.34% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.83% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.51% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 3.14% Total : 72.58% | 1-1 @ 7.45% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.15% | 1-2 @ 3.33% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 1.42% Total : 11.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |